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Lagunak vs CD Ardoi Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bujanda D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lagunak and CD Ardoi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ardoi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lagunak
35%
Draws
25%
CD Ardoi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ardoi come out ahead of Lagunak on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lagunak a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagunak CD Ardoi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs CD Ardoi
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Lagunak
3:0
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Lagunak
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs CD Ardoi
0:2
May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs CD Ardoi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagunak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

CD Ardoi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bujanda D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagunak 77 / 100
CD Ardoi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagunak CD Ardoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagunak's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Ardoi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lagunak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ardoi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagunak

(Home)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
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CD Ardoi

(Away)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)