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Lagunak vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ozcariz J.
34' Event
Yaniz M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lagunak and Pena finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lagunak
35%
Draws
28%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena come out ahead of Lagunak on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lagunak a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagunak Pena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Pena
0:2
Sep 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Lagunak
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Lagunak
6:1
Nov 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Pena
1:1
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Lagunak
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagunak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcariz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaniz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagunak 42 / 100
Pena 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagunak Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lagunak scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Pena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lagunak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagunak

(Home)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)