Sport Picks

Finland

Suomen Cup Lahden kisapuisto, Lahti

Lahden Reipas

Tue, Apr 14, 2026

1 - 2

03:30 PM

KuPS Akatemia

Our Tip

Match Events

Ozel M.

11'

Hautakangas P.

Tahkola A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with KuPS Akatemia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Lahden Reipas

20%

Draws

38%

KuPS Akatemia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lahden Reipas come out ahead of KuPS Akatemia on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Lahden Reipas taking it.
Lahden Reipas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor KuPS Akatemia, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Lahden Reipas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lahden Reipas	KuPS Akatemia
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	10
Draws	3	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	2.25	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Suomen Cup

Lahden Reipas vs KuPS Akatemia

1:2

Oct 1, 2022 Kakkonen Group A

KuPS Akatemia vs Lahden Reipas

0:3

Jul 9, 2022 Kakkonen Group A

Lahden Reipas vs KuPS Akatemia

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozel M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hautakangas P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahden Reipas 40 / 100

KuPS Akatemia 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lahden Reipas KuPS Akatemia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

KuPS Akatemia let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Away concern: KuPS Akatemia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lahden Reipas VS KuPS Akatemia

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahden Reipas

(Home)

18 Jul

PuiU Helsinki

4 : 1

Lahden Reipas

12 Jul

Lahden Reipas

1 : 1

HIFK

04 Jul

HPS

3 : 2

Lahden Reipas

27 Jun

Kiffen

3 : 2

Lahden Reipas

13 Jun

Lahden Reipas

4 : 2

Union Plaani

Page 1 of 6

KuPS Akatemia

(Away)

18 Jul

TPV

3 : 1

KuPS Akatemia

11 Jul

JJK Jyvaskyla

4 : 4

KuPS Akatemia

04 Jul

KuPS Akatemia

2 : 3

Tampere Utd

28 Jun

OLS Oulu

2 : 2

KuPS Akatemia

12 Jun

SalPa

4 : 3

KuPS Akatemia

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

FC Germania Helsinki2

Jokerit FC4

Mando United0

HIFK16

Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari3

Toolon Taisto4

Tuusulan Palloseura0

JaPS2

Stapa de Royale2

Loiske Lempaala1

HPS II1

PK-355

TBD-

KuPS-

Karhu-Futis1

Leki6

SalPa 20

VPS11

TPS 21

MaPS4

VaKP0

Abo IFK6

Toukolan Teras0

Valtti1

FC SUMU / SOB2

EPS3

FC Kangasala1

EIF Academy2

Lasten0

Haka3

VPV0

SJK Akatemia3

Santa Claus1

OLS Oulu9

Rollon Pojat3

KaPa 19242

VIFK4

KPV Kokkola5

Kajaanin Haka0

VPS 24

HAPK1

SJK6

NiemU0

PEPO1

Vaajakoski0

JJK Jyvaskyla1

Inter Turku-

TBD-

LappBK1

Lapuan Virkia Lapua8

Heinapaan Hanhet 240

JS Hercules10

MPS0

EBK7

POHU3

Gnistan0

VG-62 Naantali1

Narpes Kraft3

TPV0

Tampere Utd2

Kuopion Elo0

Huima / Urho10

Lahden Reipas1

KuPS Akatemia2

POHU/Hurjin0

Atlantis8

LePa1

Honka4

FC Futura4

GrIFK1

JaPS Akatemia0

VJS7

HauPa2

GBK Kokkola3

AC Oulu1

Jaro2

Ylivieska2

JBK1

FC Kiisto Vaasa1

RoPS Rovaniemi2

TBD-

HJK-

VJS 24

LoPa1

Keski-Uusimaa2

KaPa3

PoPo2

PK-371

KoPa0

MyPa5

AC Estudiantes0

PIF Pargas4

TPV 20

Pallo-Iirot1

TBD-

Ilves-

Fish United0

SalPa4

Ekenas IF1

TPS2

Gilla FC2

Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)5

Ylojarvi United0

HJS7

HPS3

NJS0

Kiffen 30

Mariehamn5

Gnistan/M353

TiPS U212

Kiffen1

PuiU Helsinki2

KyPa0

Union Plaani4

KTP1

Lahti3

JIPPO II0

JPS Jyvaskyla2

Jippo1

Mikkelin2

1/32-finals

Jokerit FC0

HIFK5

Toolon Taisto1

JaPS9

Stapa de Royale1

PK-358

TBD-

KuPS-

Leki1

VPS9

MaPS0

Abo IFK1

Valtti0

EPS2

EIF Academy0

Haka7

SJK Akatemia2

OLS Oulu1

Rollon Pojat0

KPV Kokkola4

VPS 21

SJK6

PEPO2

JJK Jyvaskyla1

Inter Turku-

TBD-

Lapuan Virkia Lapua1

JS Hercules4

EBK5

POHU4

Narpes Kraft0

Tampere Utd6

Huima / Urho0

KuPS Akatemia4

Atlantis3

Honka4

FC Futura2

VJS3

GBK Kokkola0

Jaro2

Ylivieska0

RoPS Rovaniemi1

TBD-

HJK-

VJS 21

KaPa3

PoPo1

MyPa4

PIF Pargas0

Pallo-Iirot2

TBD-

Ilves-

SalPa1

TPS2

Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)0

HJS1

HPS1

Mariehamn2

Gnistan/M351

PuiU Helsinki2

Union Plaani2

Lahti4

JPS Jyvaskyla3

Mikkelin5

1/16-finals

HIFK1

JaPS3

PK-350

KuPS2

VPS7

Abo IFK0

EPS0

Haka4

SJK Akatemia2

KPV Kokkola0

SJK3

PEPO0

Inter Turku8

JS Hercules0

EBK3

Tampere Utd2

KuPS Akatemia0

Honka1

VJS5

Jaro3

RoPS Rovaniemi0

HJK4

KaPa1

MyPa2

Pallo-Iirot0

Ilves4

TPS3

HJS0

Mariehamn3

PuiU Helsinki0

Lahti3

Mikkelin1

1/8-finals

JaPS0

KuPS1

VPS4

Haka0

SJK Akatemia0

SJK5

Inter Turku2

EBK1

Honka5

VJS1

HJK11

MyPa1

Ilves1

TPS0

Mariehamn0

Lahti1

Quarter-finals

KuPS0

VPS1

SJK1

Inter Turku2

Honka1

HJK7

Ilves5

Lahti2

Semi-finals

VPS2

Inter Turku3

HJK2

Ilves1

Final

Inter Turku-

HJK-