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Lahti vs Jaro

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Lahti Logo

Lahti

Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Jaro Logo

Jaro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lahti host Jaro in the Veikkausliiga. This has Lahti written all over it on paper. Jaro have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Lahti have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Lahti slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.56) point toward Lahti. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Lahti
15%
Draws
8%
Jaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaro haven't matched Lahti's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lahti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lahti Clean Sheet 20%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti Jaro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Jaro
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs Jaro
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
2:0
Oct 18, 2015 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Lahti
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 85 / 100
Jaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti Jaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jaro conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lahti remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS Jaro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

Jaro

(Away)
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lahti 24 10 5 9 29:23 35
8 TPS 24 8 8 8 28:24 32
9 Ilves 24 9 4 11 39:38 31
10 SJK 24 4 9 11 26:34 21
11 Mariehamn 24 4 5 15 19:45 17
12 Jaro 24 3 7 14 19:47 16
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)