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Lahti vs KuPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Lahti Logo

Lahti

1 - 2
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Koskinen O.
Assist: Sarr M.
11' Event
Jyry T.
Assist: Armah B.
17' Event
Luyeye-Lutumba J.
Assist: Armah B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KuPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lahti
15%
Draws
39%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lahti have won more games recently than KuPS.
  • Lahti are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • KuPS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lahti Clean Sheet 68%
KuPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti KuPS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs KuPS
1:2
May 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Lahti
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Lahti vs KuPS
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Lahti
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs KuPS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Koskinen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jyry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luyeye-Lutumba J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 68 / 100
KuPS 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

KuPS has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Lahti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS KuPS
1.71 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)
17 Oct
Lahti
5 : 1
TPS
09 Oct
SJK
1 : 0
Lahti
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 6

KuPS

(Away)
18 Oct
KuPS
2 : 0
VPS
15 Oct
KuPS
2 : 4
Trabzonspor
11 Oct
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)