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Lahti vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Lahti Logo

Lahti

1 - 2
FT
KuPS Logo

KuPS

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Koskinen O.
Assist: Sarr M.
11' Event
Jyry T.
Assist: Armah B.
17' Event
Luyeye-Lutumba J.
Assist: Armah B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KuPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lahti
20%
Draws
40%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS have won more games recently than Lahti.
  • Lahti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • KuPS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lahti Clean Sheet 68%
KuPS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti KuPS
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs KuPS
1:2
May 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Lahti
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Lahti vs KuPS
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs Lahti
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Lahti vs KuPS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Koskinen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

KuPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jyry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luyeye-Lutumba J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 50 / 100
KuPS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

KuPS has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Lahti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS KuPS
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
09 Aug
Inter Turku
0 : 0
Lahti
01 Aug
Lahti
2 : 0
Jaro
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0
Lahti
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KuPS

(Away)
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1
KuPS
16 Aug
Lahti
1 : 2
KuPS
13 Aug
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
KuPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 21 12 7 2 38:22 43
2 Inter Turku 21 10 9 2 28:16 39
3 Gnistan 21 10 5 6 35:28 35
4 HJK 21 10 4 7 34:26 34
5 VPS 21 9 6 6 29:21 33
6 AC Oulu 21 10 3 8 25:25 33
7 TPS 21 8 6 7 27:22 30
8 Lahti 21 8 5 8 25:19 29
9 Ilves 21 7 4 10 33:35 25
10 SJK 21 4 6 11 25:33 18
11 Jaro 21 3 6 12 18:42 15
12 Mariehamn 21 2 5 14 15:43 11
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)