Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga Lahden Stadion, Lahti

Lahti

1 - 1

VPS

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Sub

Neemias In: Lindholm A.

Out: Neemias

41'

Smyth L.

44'

Ferreira M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between Lahti and VPS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Lahti

33%

Draws

27%

VPS

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lahti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

VPS carry the better recent record into this one.
Lahti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Lahti Clean Sheet 68%

VPS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lahti	VPS
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Lahti vs VPS

1:1

Aug 25, 2024 Veikkausliiga

Lahti vs VPS

0:0

May 3, 2024 Veikkausliiga

VPS vs Lahti

3:0

Aug 18, 2023 Veikkausliiga

Lahti vs VPS

0:2

Apr 5, 2023 Veikkausliiga

VPS vs Lahti

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti 50 / 100

VPS 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lahti VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Lahti stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lahti scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

VPS let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lahti VS VPS

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti

(Home)

20 Jul

Mariehamn

0 : 2

Lahti

11 Jul

Lahti

2 : 0

HJK

04 Jul

Lahti

1 : 0

Gnistan

27 Jun

AC Oulu

1 : 1

Lahti

23 Jun

Lahti

0 : 0

TPS

Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)

18 Jul

HJK

2 : 1

VPS

10 Jul

VPS

1 : 0

SJK

04 Jul

VPS

4 : 0

Mariehamn

30 Jun

VPS

2 : 3

Inter Turku

27 Jun

Gnistan

1 : 1

VPS

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	16	9	6	1	29:15	33
2	Inter Turku	16	8	7	1	23:12	31
3	VPS	16	7	6	3	23:13	27
4	AC Oulu	16	8	2	6	20:20	26
5	HJK	16	7	4	5	27:20	25
6	Gnistan	16	7	4	5	25:20	25
7	Lahti	16	6	4	6	20:15	22
8	TPS	16	6	4	6	20:19	22
9	Ilves	16	5	4	7	28:30	19
10	SJK	16	3	5	8	18:25	14
11	Jaro	16	2	6	8	15:32	12
12	Mariehamn	16	0	4	12	8:35	4

Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)

Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)