Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lahti W vs KTP W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Oruetxebarria N.
29' Event
Giamanco S.
59' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

KTP W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTP W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lahti W
15%
Draws
57%
KTP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KTP W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • KTP W have won more games recently than Lahti W.
  • KTP W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KTP W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%
KTP W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti W KTP W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.79 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Jun 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
2:6
Apr 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Apr 16, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Savolainen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

KTP W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oruetxebarria N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giamanco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti W 10 / 100
KTP W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti W KTP W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KTP W conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lahti W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: KTP W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti W VS KTP W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti W

(Home)
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
08 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 1
ONS Oulu W
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KTP W

(Away)
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
10 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
1 : 4
KTP W
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