Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lahti W vs TPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Lahden Stadion, Lahti
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Pesonen E.
80' Event
Jamsen E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Lahti W
15%
Draws
68%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Lahti W haven't matched TPS W's recent run of results.
  • TPS W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lahti W TPS W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:2
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
1:1
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:4
Oct 10, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesonen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti W 10 / 100
TPS W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lahti W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TPS W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Lahti W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Lahti W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lahti W VS TPS W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lahti W

(Home)
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
16 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 5
KTP W
08 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 1
ONS Oulu W
Page 1 of 6

TPS W

(Away)
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)