Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Lahden Stadion

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lahti W play TPS W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lahti W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. TPS W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Lahti W won 3, TPS W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 4:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Lahti W and 2.44 for TPS W. This points to a TPS W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Lahti W

17%

Draws

13%

TPS W

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lahti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

TPS W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lahti W.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Lahti W.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Kansallinen Ykkonen Women provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lahti W	TPS W
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	3	7
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	3.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

TPS W vs Lahti W

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

4:4

Oct 10, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

TPS W vs Lahti W

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 12, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Lahti W vs TPS W

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Jun 28, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Lahti W vs TPS W

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Apr 25, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

TPS W vs Lahti W

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lahti W 65 / 100

TPS W 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lahti W TPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

TPS W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lahti W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TPS W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lahti W VS TPS W

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

3.25 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EBK W	15	12	2	1	43:9	38
2	Honka W	15	9	3	3	26:12	30
3	HJK Akatemia W	15	8	2	5	31:21	26
4	HJS W	15	8	1	6	31:24	25
5	JyPK W	15	7	1	7	30:26	22
6	ONS Oulu W	15	6	2	7	21:22	20
7	Keski-Uusimaa W	15	6	0	9	22:29	18
8	KTP W	15	5	0	10	21:45	15
9	TPS W	15	2	5	8	16:34	11
10	Lahti W	15	3	2	10	22:41	11