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Lai Chi vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2016
Lai Chi Logo

Lai Chi

4 - 0
FT
Policia Logo

Policia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2016 game between Lai Chi and Policia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lai Chi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lai Chi
15%
Draws
59%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Policia come out ahead of Lai Chi on wins alone.
  • Policia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lai Chi Clean Sheet 20%
Policia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lai Chi Policia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 5.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2018 Elite League
Policia vs Lai Chi
2:5
Mar 4, 2018 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Policia
2:3
May 6, 2017 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Policia
1:1
Feb 18, 2017 Elite League
Policia vs Lai Chi
2:0
May 6, 2016 Elite League
Lai Chi vs Policia
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lai Chi 12 / 100
Policia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lai Chi Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Policia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lai Chi scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Lai Chi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Policia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lai Chi

(Home)
30 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 1
Lai Chi
22 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 7
Tak Chun Ka I
16 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 5
Sporting Macau
10 Jun
Policia
2 : 5
Lai Chi
01 Jun
Lai Chi
0 : 6
Monte Carlo
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Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 17 1 0 78:4 52
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 13 2 3 46:12 41
3 Sporting Macau 18 11 4 3 50:15 37
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 79:19 35
5 Must IPO 18 10 3 5 42:17 33
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 39:46 19
7 Policia 18 3 3 12 17:57 12
8 Kei Lun 18 3 3 12 16:59 12
9 Casa de Portugal 18 2 4 12 19:92 10
10 Chuac Lun 18 0 4 14 10:75 4
Promotion - AFC Cup 2017 (Qualification)