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Lajeadense vs Aimore

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Micael

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Aimore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lajeadense
30%
Draws
58%
Aimore
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aimore come out ahead of Lajeadense on wins alone.
  • Aimore are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Aimore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aimore, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lajeadense Clean Sheet 19%
Aimore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lajeadense Aimore
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.64 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Lajeadense
2:0
Jul 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Aimore
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Lajeadense
1:0
Jul 10, 2024 Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs Aimore
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Lajeadense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lajeadense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Aimore Compare

Top Goalscorer Micael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lajeadense 24 / 100
Aimore 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lajeadense Aimore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aimore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Lajeadense scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Aimore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 33 matches.

Lajeadense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lajeadense VS Aimore
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lajeadense

(Home)
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
09 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
06 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Lajeadense
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
23 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 0
GE Gloria
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Aimore

(Away)
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
06 Sept
Apafut
3 : 2
Aimore
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
22 Aug
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Aimore
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria 2
GE Bage 0
Passo Fundo 3
Veranopolis 4
Aimore 3
Lajeadense 0
Novo Hamburgo 5
Gramadense 1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria 3
Veranopolis 1
Aimore 1
Novo Hamburgo 3
Final
Inter Santa Maria 2
Novo Hamburgo 3