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Lalin vs SD Negreira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lalin
15%
Draws
34%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Negreira lately — more wins on the board than Lalin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lalin Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lalin SD Negreira
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Lalin
0:0
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs SD Negreira
0:0
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs SD Negreira
0:0
Nov 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Lalin
1:1
Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lalin vs SD Negreira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lalin 31 / 100
SD Negreira 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lalin SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lalin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lalin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: SD Negreira conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lalin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SD Negreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lalin VS SD Negreira
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lalin

(Home)
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
13 May
Xuventu Sanxenxo
0 : 1
Lalin
06 May
Lalin
1 : 5
Betanzos CF
Page 1 of 6

SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)