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Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Arthur Edden Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
McFarlane D.
18' Event
Topor-Stanley N.
Own Goal
36' Event
Topor-Stanley N.

AI Match Summary

Lambton Jaffas FC host Maitland in the NPL Northern NSW 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lambton Jaffas FC have averaged 2 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Maitland's 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Lambton Jaffas FC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back Lambton Jaffas FC to edge this. Lambton Jaffas FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lambton Jaffas FC
33%
Draws
40%
Maitland
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maitland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lambton Jaffas FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Maitland.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Maitland.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lambton Jaffas FC Clean Sheet 17%
Maitland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lambton Jaffas FC Maitland
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
4:2
May 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Maitland vs Lambton Jaffas FC
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Lambton Jaffas FC vs Maitland
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lambton Jaffas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Topor-Stanley N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Maitland Compare

Top Goalscorer McFarlane D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lambton Jaffas FC 28 / 100
Maitland 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lambton Jaffas FC Maitland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lambton Jaffas FC scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Maitland let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Lambton Jaffas FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maitland lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lambton Jaffas FC VS Maitland
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC22192150:1859
2Edgeworth Eagles FC22172350:1553
3Weston Workers Bears22162461:2550
4Lambton Jaffas FC2296737:2933
5Maitland2295842:4132
6Newcastle Olympic2287747:3831
7Charlestown Azzurri22661032:3424
8Adamstown Rosebud22721333:4723
9Cooks Hill United22721326:4723
10Belmont Swansea United22481034:4520
11Valentine22441428:6016
12New Lambton22141721:627