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Lamezia vs Reggina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Toscano F.
22' Event
Abonckelet M.
42' Event
Abonckelet M.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lamezia
15%
Draws
59%
Reggina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina have won more games recently than Lamezia.
  • Win probability leans Reggina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamezia Reggina
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Reggina
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Reggina
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Lamezia
0:1
Feb 7, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Reggina
1:1
Oct 4, 2015 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Lamezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Abonckelet M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toscano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamezia 10 / 100
Reggina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamezia Reggina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamezia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Reggina conceded in 39% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lamezia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lamezia VS Reggina
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamezia

(Home)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
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Reggina

(Away)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)