Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lamia vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 Athanasios Diakos Stadium, Lamia
Lamia Logo

Lamia

1 - 1
FT
Asteras Stavrou Logo

Asteras Stavrou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lamia
35%
Draws
23%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lamia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Stavrou have won more games recently than Lamia.
  • Lamia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lamia Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamia Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 15 8
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lamia vs Asteras Stavrou
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamia 86 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamia Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lamia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Asteras Stavrou has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lamia VS Asteras Stavrou
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamia

(Home)
08 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Lamia
05 Apr
Lamia
1 : 1
Elassona
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
Lamia
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
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Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)