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Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 700th Anniversary Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mlapa P.
Assist: Schad D.
37'
Bunsan K.
46'
Sub
Bunsan K. In: Kamkla B.
Out: Bunsan K.

AI Match Summary

Lamphun Warrior host Ayutthaya United in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lamphun Warrior at 0.75 goals for, 1 against; Ayutthaya United at 0.63 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Lamphun Warrior have won 2 to Ayutthaya United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.81, favoring Lamphun Warrior. Lamphun Warrior in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lamphun Warrior
6%
Draws
4%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lamphun Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lamphun Warrior.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Lamphun Warrior.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 68%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamphun Warrior Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 15 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 Thai League 2
Lamphun Warrior vs Ayutthaya United
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 Thai League 2
Ayutthaya United vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlapa P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ayutthaya United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamphun Warrior 95 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamphun Warrior Ayutthaya United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamphun Warrior scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Ayutthaya United let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Lamphun Warrior went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ayutthaya United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lamphun Warrior VS Ayutthaya United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423