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Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lamphun Warrior host Sukhothai in the Thai League 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lamphun Warrior have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Sukhothai's 0.9 scored and 1.68 conceded. Past meetings favor Lamphun Warrior slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Lamphun Warrior to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lamphun Warrior
15%
Draws
39%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lamphun Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lamphun Warrior lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • Model gives Lamphun Warrior a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lamphun Warrior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 16%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lamphun Warrior Sukhothai
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 13 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Lamphun Warrior
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lamphun Warrior 75 / 100
Sukhothai 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lamphun Warrior Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lamphun Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sukhothai conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lamphun Warrior scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Lamphun Warrior has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lamphun Warrior VS Sukhothai
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lamphun Warrior

(Home)
20 Oct
Suphanburi FC
0 : 4
Lamphun Warrior
16 Oct
Ayutthaya United
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
11 Oct
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2
Bangkok Utd
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
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Sukhothai

(Away)
20 Oct
Romklao United
1 : 0
Sukhothai
17 Oct
Sukhothai
5 : 1
Rasisalai United
09 Oct
Ratchaburi
6 : 0
Sukhothai
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)