Sport Picks
Lancaster vs Blyth Spartans
England
NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 
Match Events
31'
31'
Cox C.
52'
52'
Beeden H.
71'
71'
Hooper J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Lancaster and Blyth Spartans finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lancaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blyth Spartans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lancaster carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Blyth Spartans's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Blyth Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Blyth Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Blyth Spartans
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Lancaster
1:1
Dec 15, 2018 FA Trophy
Lancaster vs Blyth Spartans
0:3
Apr 21, 2007 National League North
Lancaster vs Blyth Spartans
0:2
Oct 21, 2006 National League North
Blyth Spartans vs Lancaster
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Cox C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beeden H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
Blyth Spartans Compare
Top Goalscorer Hooper J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Simpson Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 26 / 100
Blyth Spartans 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Blyth Spartans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Blyth Spartans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Blyth Spartans conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Lancaster found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Blyth Spartans registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Blyth Spartans
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1 Lancaster
19 Sept
Bradford PA
1 : 0 Lancaster
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2 Lancaster
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1 Tadcaster Albion
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1 Tadcaster Albion
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2 Hyde
Page 1 of 3
Blyth Spartans
(Away) 26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Wythenshawe FC
0 : 4 Blyth Spartans
05 Sept
Redcar Town
1 : 0 Blyth Spartans
29 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 0 1874 Northwich
01 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 4 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Wythenshawe FC
0 : 4 Blyth Spartans
05 Sept
Redcar Town
1 : 0 Blyth Spartans
06 Sept
North Ferriby FC
1 : 0 Blyth Spartans
21 Apr
Whitby
1 : 0 Blyth Spartans
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 42 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 109:30 | 109 |
| 2 | Worksop | 42 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 96:51 | 83 |
| 3 | Stockton | 42 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 66:47 | 75 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 67:45 | 74 |
| 5 | Ashton United | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 72:58 | 69 |
| 6 | Ilkeston | 42 | 18 | 12 | 12 | 69:56 | 66 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 58:53 | 64 |
| 8 | Morpeth | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 57:61 | 62 |
| 9 | Hyde | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 59:63 | 57 |
| 10 | Prescot Cables | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 49:54 | 57 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 60:53 | 56 |
| 12 | Workington | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 61:65 | 52 |
| 13 | Bamber Bridge | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 65:70 | 52 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 60:65 | 52 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 47:55 | 52 |
| 16 | Whitby | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 55:71 | 52 |
| 17 | United of Manchester | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 55:62 | 51 |
| 18 | Lancaster | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 52:63 | 51 |
| 19 | Matlock | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 59:69 | 42 |
| 20 | Mickleover | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 41:75 | 39 |
| 21 | Basford Utd. | 42 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 50:79 | 37 |
| 22 | Blyth Spartans | 42 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 38:100 | 18 |
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
