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Lancaster vs Cleethorpes

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lancaster
35%
Draws
32%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Lancaster and Cleethorpes have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Cleethorpes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 24%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancaster Cleethorpes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Cleethorpes
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Lancaster
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancaster 25 / 100
Cleethorpes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancaster Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lancaster's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cleethorpes let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lancaster stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lancaster VS Cleethorpes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0
Warrington Rylands
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1
Lancaster
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2
Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stockton
1 : 1
Lancaster
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Cleethorpes

(Away)
11 Aug
Quorn
0 : 5
Cleethorpes
08 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
25 Jul
Cleethorpes
2 : 2
Grimsby Borough
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1
Harrogate
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)