Sport Picks
Lancaster vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
9'
9'
Foster C.
76'
76'
Hughes L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Lancaster and Cleethorpes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cleethorpes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cleethorpes come out ahead of Lancaster on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Cleethorpes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 7, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Cleethorpes
0:2
Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Cleethorpes vs Lancaster
5:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Cleethorpes
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Lancaster
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cleethorpes Compare
Top Goalscorer Foster C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 30 / 100
Cleethorpes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Cleethorpes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lancaster scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Cleethorpes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Cleethorpes
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 3
Cleethorpes
(Away) 10 Nov
Bury FC
1 : 0 Cleethorpes
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
31 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0 Avro
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Bury FC
1 : 0 Cleethorpes
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1 Cleethorpes
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:19 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 42:34 | 32 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 13 | Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 33:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Hyde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:32 | 18 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34:39 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:38 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:42 | 11 |
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