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Lancaster vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Holmes B.
90' Event
Curran A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Lancaster and Curzon Ashton finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lancaster
15%
Draws
67%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Curzon Ashton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Curzon Ashton here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 13%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancaster Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Curzon Ashton
0:2
Oct 1, 2013 FA Cup
Lancaster vs Curzon Ashton
1:2
Sep 28, 2013 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lancaster Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curran A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancaster 10 / 100
Curzon Ashton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancaster Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lancaster's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Curzon Ashton has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lancaster stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lancaster VS Curzon Ashton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lancaster

(Home)
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2
Cleethorpes
31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0
Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0
Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0
Stockton
Page 1 of 7

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
10 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
Ilkeston
07 Nov
Stockton
0 : 1
Curzon Ashton
03 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
31 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 1
Leek Town
27 Oct
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 18 11 5 2 41:19 38
2 Curzon Ashton 18 12 1 5 32:18 37
3 Cleethorpes 17 11 3 3 34:10 36
4 Guiseley 16 10 3 3 34:16 33
5 Avro 18 10 2 6 42:34 32
6 Warrington Rylands 17 9 3 5 31:24 30
7 Workington 18 9 3 6 31:27 30
8 Bury FC 16 9 2 5 32:18 29
9 Gainsborough 17 9 2 6 33:24 29
10 Warrington Town 17 8 5 4 31:24 29
11 Alfreton 18 7 2 9 23:25 23
12 AFC Emley 18 6 5 7 21:29 23
13 Quorn 17 5 6 6 33:35 21
14 Lancaster 18 6 3 9 20:31 21
15 Whitby 18 6 1 11 24:47 19
16 Stockton 18 5 3 10 26:31 18
17 Hyde 17 5 3 9 19:32 18
18 Ashton United 17 4 5 8 19:21 17
19 Leek Town 17 4 5 8 34:39 17
20 Ilkeston 18 4 1 13 13:38 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 18 2 5 11 18:42 11
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