Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Friend J.
45'
45'
Moonan D.
60'
60'
Campbell-Ryce J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Lancaster and Quorn finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lancaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Lancaster have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Quorn are scoring more at 1.47.
- Lancaster are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 18%
Quorn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Quorn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Quorn
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Moonan D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lawson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Quorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Friend J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell-Ryce J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 36 / 100
Quorn 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Quorn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Lancaster scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Quorn has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Lancaster went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Quorn
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 25 Aug
Bury FC
0 : 1 Lancaster
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
18 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Lancaster
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2 Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2 Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2 Preston U21
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0 Stocksbridge
Page 1 of 3
Quorn
(Away) 25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2 Gainsborough
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
18 Aug
Warrington Rylands
1 : 0 Quorn
15 Aug
Quorn
1 : 1 Redcar Athletic
11 Aug
Quorn
0 : 5 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
18 Aug
Warrington Rylands
1 : 0 Quorn
08 Aug
Avro
2 : 1 Quorn
18 Jul
Bedworth United
4 : 1 Quorn
14 Jul
Matlock
1 : 3 Quorn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Avro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 3 | Warrington Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Redcar Athletic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Alfreton | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Workington | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Lancaster | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Ilkeston | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Hyde | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 6 |
| 17 | Warrington Rylands | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 18 | Whitby | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Stockton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 21 | Quorn | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | 2 |
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