Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Friend J.
45'
45'
Moonan D.
60'
60'
Campbell-Ryce J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Lancaster and Quorn finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Quorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lancaster come out ahead of Quorn on wins alone.
- Quorn are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Quorn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Quorn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Quorn
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Moonan D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lawson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Quorn Compare
Top Goalscorer Friend J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell-Ryce J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 18 / 100
Quorn 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Quorn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Quorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Quorn conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Lancaster scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Lancaster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Quorn
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 3
Quorn
(Away) 10 Nov
Quorn
2 : 3 Stockton
06 Nov
Quorn
4 : 0 Alfreton
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2 Warrington Town
27 Oct
United of Manchester
1 : 1 Quorn
24 Oct
Kettering
6 : 2 Quorn
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
United of Manchester
1 : 1 Quorn
24 Oct
Kettering
6 : 2 Quorn
13 Oct
Hyde
2 : 2 Quorn
03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4 Quorn
19 Sept
Kettering
2 : 0 Quorn
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:19 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 42:34 | 32 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 13 | Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 33:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Hyde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:32 | 18 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34:39 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:38 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:42 | 11 |
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