Sport Picks
Lancaster vs Warrington Rylands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
73'
73'
Craig J.
AI Match Summary
Lancaster in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lancaster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warrington Rylands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warrington Rylands lately — more wins on the board than Lancaster.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Lancaster taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Warrington Rylands |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Warrington Rylands
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Lancaster
2:0
Sep 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Warrington Rylands
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Lancaster
0:2
Aug 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Warrington Rylands
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Craig J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Warrington Rylands Compare
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 34 / 100
Warrington Rylands 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Warrington Rylands
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lancaster's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Warrington Rylands conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Lancaster remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Warrington Rylands
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1 Tadcaster Albion
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Rylands
(Away) 31 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
24 Oct
Warrington Rylands
1 : 3 Guiseley
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1 Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0 Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0 Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3 Warrington Rylands
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:9 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:21 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 39:30 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28:26 | 27 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:18 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 12 | Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 13 | Lancaster | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:29 | 21 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19:28 | 20 |
| 15 | Whitby | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 22:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23:28 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:21 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 31:37 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11:34 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | 11 |
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