Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Hunter L.
59'
59'
Carroll B.
85'
85'
Hopper D.
AI Match Summary
Workington in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lancaster haven't matched Workington's recent run of results.
- Model gives Workington a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 17%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Lancaster
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Lancaster
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carroll B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 23 / 100
Workington 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lancaster scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Lancaster went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Workington
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
28 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 2 Lancaster
25 Aug
Bury FC
0 : 1 Lancaster
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
18 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
Lancaster
2 : 2 Quorn
15 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 2 Hyde
11 Aug
Lancaster
1 : 0 Warrington Rylands
21 Jul
Lancaster
2 : 2 Preston U21
Page 1 of 3
Workington
(Away) 31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Leek Town
25 Aug
Workington
3 : 2 Warrington Rylands
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1 Workington
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0 Workington
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Avro | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:16 | 19 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Warrington Town | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Workington | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Warrington Rylands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ashton United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hyde | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Lancaster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Whitby | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Ilkeston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Quorn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:22 | 6 |
| 21 | Stockton | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 4 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 2 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
