Sport Picks
Lancaster vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
11'
11'
Hunter L.
59'
59'
Carroll B.
85'
85'
Hopper D.
AI Match Summary
Workington in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Lancaster haven't matched Workington's recent run of results.
- Model gives Workington a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lancaster Clean Sheet 13%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lancaster | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Lancaster
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Lancaster vs Workington
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Lancaster
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lancaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carroll B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lancaster 14 / 100
Workington 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lancaster Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Workington has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Lancaster found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Lancaster went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lancaster VS Workington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lancaster
(Home) 07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
31 Oct
United of Manchester
0 : 0 Lancaster
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0 Lancaster
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Lancaster
0 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2 Leek Town
13 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 0 Stockton
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2 Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 3
Workington
(Away) 10 Nov
Workington
3 : 0 Alfreton
07 Nov
Workington
0 : 1 Ashton United
31 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 2 Workington
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2 Cleethorpes
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 2 Workington
17 Oct
Bamber Bridge
1 : 2 Workington
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:19 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 42:34 | 32 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 13 | Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 33:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Hyde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:32 | 18 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34:39 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:38 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:42 | 11 |
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