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Lanciano FC vs Montecchio Gallo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lanciano FC host Montecchio Gallo in the Serie D - Group F. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Lanciano FC at 1.33 goals for, 2 against; Montecchio Gallo at 0.83 for, 0.83 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.35) point toward Montecchio Gallo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lanciano FC
30%
Draws
37%
Montecchio Gallo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montecchio Gallo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lanciano FC's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Montecchio Gallo have produced (0.83).
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 18%
Montecchio Gallo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano FC Montecchio Gallo
Matches Played 9 6
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano FC 31 / 100
Montecchio Gallo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano FC Montecchio Gallo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanciano FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Gallo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Recent resilience: Lanciano FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lanciano FC scored in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Montecchio Gallo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanciano FC VS Montecchio Gallo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.71
2 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 2

Montecchio Gallo

(Away)
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)