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Lanciano FC vs Notaresco Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lanciano FC host Notaresco Calcio in the Serie D - Group F. This one's hard to separate. Lanciano FC have averaged 1.45 scored and 2.18 conceded recently, against Notaresco Calcio's 1.33 scored and 1.13 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Notaresco Calcio. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lanciano FC
15%
Draws
45%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Notaresco Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Lanciano FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 14%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano FC Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano FC 35 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano FC Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanciano FC found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Lanciano FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Notaresco Calcio lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanciano FC VS Notaresco Calcio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
5 : 1
Lanciano FC
11 Oct
Lanciano FC
3 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
Page 1 of 3

Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2
Maceratese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)