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Langreo vs Candas CF

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Langreo and Candas CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Langreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Langreo
30%
Draws
37%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Langreo come out ahead of Candas CF on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Langreo Clean Sheet 20%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langreo Candas CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.56 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Langreo
0:3
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Candas CF
2:1
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Candas CF
0:1
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Langreo
0:0
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Candas CF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 32 / 100
Candas CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langreo Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Langreo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Candas CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Langreo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Langreo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Langreo

(Home)
20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Langreo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
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Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)