Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Deportivo Fabril

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Langreo play Deportivo Fabril in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Langreo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Deportivo Fabril averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Langreo won 1, Deportivo Fabril won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Langreo and 1.56 for Deportivo Fabril. This points to a Deportivo Fabril double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Langreo

31%

Draws

40%

Deportivo Fabril

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Langreo picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Fabril.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Langreo Clean Sheet 15%

Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Langreo	Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	16
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Langreo vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Langreo

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Feb 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Langreo vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

0:3

Oct 5, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Langreo

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Langreo

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 29 / 100

Deportivo Fabril 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Langreo Deportivo Fabril

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Fabril or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Langreo attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Fabril

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Langreo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Fabril let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Langreo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Fabril lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 57

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15