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Langreo vs Lealtad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
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Match Events

33' Event

AI Match Summary

Lealtad in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lealtad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Langreo
30%
Draws
33%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Langreo have won more games recently than Lealtad.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Langreo Clean Sheet 16%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langreo Lealtad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Lealtad
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Lealtad vs Langreo
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Lealtad
4:0
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Langreo vs Lealtad
1:1
Aug 10, 2022 Club Friendly
Langreo vs Lealtad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 30 / 100
Lealtad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langreo Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Langreo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Lealtad let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Langreo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Langreo VS Lealtad
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Langreo

(Home)
04 Oct
Gijon B
1 : 1
Langreo
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Langreo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 7

Lealtad

(Away)
04 Oct
Lealtad
2 : 0
Aviles Stadium
27 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 1
Llanes
20 Sept
Gijon B
1 : 0
Lealtad
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)