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Langreo vs UD Samano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Neira S.
25' Event
Neira S.
44' Event
Neira S.

AI Match Summary

Langreo in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Langreo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Langreo
15%
Draws
0%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Langreo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Samano haven't matched Langreo's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Langreo taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Langreo Clean Sheet 68%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langreo UD Samano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.17 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs UD Samano
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Langreo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Langreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira S.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

UD Samano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 95 / 100
UD Samano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langreo UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langreo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Samano let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: UD Samano registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Langreo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Langreo VS UD Samano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Langreo

(Home)
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
03 May
Real Oviedo B
3 : 2
Langreo
26 Apr
Langreo
1 : 1
Numancia
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UD Samano

(Away)
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
04 Apr
Sarriana
4 : 0
UD Samano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)