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Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory U21

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lee A.
20' Event
Matina D.
31' Event
Webb A.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between Langwarrin and Melbourne Victory U21 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Langwarrin
15%
Draws
54%
Melbourne Victory U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Victory U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melbourne Victory U21 come out ahead of Langwarrin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Victory U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Langwarrin Clean Sheet 10%
Melbourne Victory U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langwarrin Melbourne Victory U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory U21
3:3
Mar 30, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Langwarrin
3:3
Jul 21, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Langwarrin
4:1
Apr 20, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory U21
1:3
May 11, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs Melbourne Victory U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Langwarrin Compare

Top Goalscorer Webb A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mason B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Melbourne Victory U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matina D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langwarrin 14 / 100
Melbourne Victory U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langwarrin Melbourne Victory U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbourne Victory U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Langwarrin's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Melbourne Victory U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Langwarrin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Langwarrin VS Melbourne Victory U21
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Langwarrin

(Home)
30 Aug
Langwarrin
1 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
23 Aug
Melbourne Knights
0 : 2
Langwarrin
16 Aug
Western United U21
0 : 3
Langwarrin
01 Aug
Langwarrin
3 : 4
Brunswick City
27 Jul
Bulleen
3 : 1
Langwarrin
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Melbourne Victory U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
4 : 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1
Northcote City
03 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 0
Melbourne Srbija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)