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Lanus 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 host Atl. Rafaela 2 in the Reserve League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lanus 2 have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Atl. Rafaela 2's 1.07 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Lanus 2 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 1:7. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Lanus 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lanus 2
30%
Draws
19%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanus 2 have won more games recently than Atl. Rafaela 2.
  • Model gives Lanus 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Lanus 2
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 2 84 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atl. Rafaela 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lanus 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanus 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus 2

(Home)
21 Oct
Lanus 2
4 : 1
Quilmes 2
14 Oct
Estudiantes L.P. 2
4 : 4
Lanus 2
08 Oct
Lanus 2
3 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
23 Sept
Lanus 2
2 : 1
Banfield 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
20 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
13 Oct
Atl. Rafaela 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 14 6 6 2 17:5 24
2 Rosario Central 2 14 6 6 2 20:18 24
3 River Plate 2 14 5 8 1 23:14 23
4 Talleres Cordoba 2 14 6 5 3 16:11 23
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 14 6 4 4 14:12 22
6 San Lorenzo 2 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
7 Sarmiento Junin 2 14 4 7 3 13:10 19
8 Godoy Cruz 2 14 4 7 3 15:13 19
9 Instituto 2 14 4 7 3 19:19 19
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 14 3 8 3 18:14 17
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 14 4 5 5 13:10 17
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 14 4 5 5 10:14 17
13 Aldosivi 2 14 3 6 5 13:16 15
14 Tigre 2 14 4 3 7 16:22 15
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 14 3 5 6 9:14 14
16 Racing Club 2 14 2 7 5 21:27 13
17 Banfield 2 14 3 3 8 12:24 12
18 Barracas Central 2 14 1 7 6 10:21 10
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 14 10 3 1 30:10 33
2 Lanus 2 14 9 3 2 31:18 30
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 14 8 2 4 25:14 26
4 Estudiantes L.P. 2 14 7 4 3 25:15 25
5 Boca Juniors 2 14 7 4 3 17:9 25
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 14 7 4 3 21:20 25
7 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 14 6 6 2 15:10 24
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 14 5 6 3 16:16 21
9 Huracan 2 14 6 2 6 15:13 20
10 Newells Old Boys 2 14 4 6 4 17:14 18
11 Quilmes 2 14 4 5 5 12:15 17
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 14 3 7 4 20:20 16
13 Ind. Rivadavia 2 14 4 3 7 20:26 15
14 San Martin S.J. 2 14 3 4 7 13:24 13
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 14 3 3 8 12:24 12
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 14 3 2 9 10:21 11
17 Platense 2 14 0 7 7 7:18 7
18 Ferro 2 14 1 3 10 9:26 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)