Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Lanus 2 Logo

Lanus 2

0 - 4
FT
Independiente 2 Logo

Independiente 2

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tempone F.
30' Event
Diaz M.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Arrayago J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lanus 2
30%
Draws
31%
Independiente 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente 2 have won more games recently than Lanus 2.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Independiente 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus 2 Independiente 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
0:4
Oct 2, 2025 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Lanus 2
3:1
Apr 29, 2025 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
2:2
Oct 3, 2024 Reserve League
Independiente 2 vs Lanus 2
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Independiente 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Independiente 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tempone F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrayago J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 2 29 / 100
Independiente 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus 2 Independiente 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Independiente 2 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Lanus 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanus 2 VS Independiente 2
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus 2

(Home)
16 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia 2
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
01 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
26 Aug
Colon Santa Fe 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
18 Aug
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 2
Lanus 2
Page 1 of 6

Independiente 2

(Away)
15 Sept
Independiente 2
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
02 Sept
Independiente 2
1 : 1
Platense 2
26 Aug
Quilmes 2
1 : 2
Independiente 2
19 Aug
Independiente 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)