Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanus vs Banfield

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Mendez M.
45'
Mendez M.
51'
Marcich S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Lanus and Banfield finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lanus
15%
Draws
46%
Banfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Banfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lanus come out ahead of Banfield on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lanus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Banfield Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Banfield
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Banfield
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Lanus
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Banfield
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Lanus
0:1
Feb 26, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Banfield
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Valois Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37

Banfield Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 51 / 100
Banfield 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Banfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Banfield has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Banfield
0.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1
Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1
Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0
Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Banfield

(Away)
10 Aug
Banfield
0 : 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
01 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0
Banfield
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
25 Jul
Huracan
1 : 0
Banfield
09 May
Banfield
2 : 1
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)