Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanus vs San Lorenzo

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Herrera E.
39'
Carrera R.
45'
Lorenzon F.

AI Match Summary

Lanus in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lanus
28%
Draws
22%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lanus have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Lanus taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus San Lorenzo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Lanus
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Lanus
1:1
May 20, 2024 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Lanus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 59 / 100
San Lorenzo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

San Lorenzo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS San Lorenzo
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0
Cienciano
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1
Lanus
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0
Mirassol
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0
Lanus
10 May
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 0
Lanus
Page 1 of 7

San Lorenzo

(Away)
17 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Deportivo Riestra
27 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Recoleta
20 May
Santos
2 : 2
San Lorenzo
10 May
River Plate
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
06 May
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newells Old Boys11001:03
2Velez Sarsfield11001:03
3Gimnasia Mendoza11001:03
4Union de Santa Fe10102:21
5Platense10102:21
6Defensa y Justicia10101:11
7Lanus00000:00
8San Lorenzo00000:00
9Independiente00000:00
10Estudiantes L.P.00000:00
11Boca Juniors00000:00
12Deportivo Riestra00000:00
13Talleres Cordoba10010:10
14Instituto10010:10
15Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)10010:10
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentinos Jrs11003:23
2Racing Club11002:13
3CA Belgrano de Cordoba11002:13
4Huracan11001:03
5Barracas Central11001:03
6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto11001:03
7Aldosivi10101:11
8Atl. Tucuman00000:00
9Ind. Rivadavia00000:00
10Sarmiento Junin10012:30
11Rosario Central10011:20
12Gimnasia L.P.10011:20
13Tigre10010:10
14Banfield10010:10
15River Plate10010:10
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)