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Stadium Background

Lanzarote vs CD Santa Ursula

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Machin A.
43' Event
Pérez A.
46' Event
Machin A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between Lanzarote and CD Santa Ursula finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
41%
CD Santa Ursula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lanzarote haven't matched CD Santa Ursula's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote CD Santa Ursula
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.91
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs CD Santa Ursula
7:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Lanzarote
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Lanzarote
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs CD Santa Ursula
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Lanzarote
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Machin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CD Santa Ursula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 36 / 100
CD Santa Ursula 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote CD Santa Ursula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lanzarote found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Santa Ursula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Lanzarote stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
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CD Santa Ursula

(Away)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)