Sport Picks
Lanzarote vs Gran Tarajal Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 
Match Events
55'
55'
Pierce L.
65'
65'
Aparisi K.
67'
67'
Fernandez R.
AI Match Summary
Lanzarote in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanzarote.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanzarote
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lanzarote lately — more wins on the board than Gran Tarajal.
- Win probability leans Lanzarote's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzarote | Gran Tarajal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Gran Tarajal
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Lanzarote
2:2
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Gran Tarajal
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Lanzarote
1:3
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Lanzarote
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Pierce L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Gran Tarajal Compare
Top Goalscorer Aparisi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzarote 95 / 100
Gran Tarajal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzarote Gran Tarajal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanzarote found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).
Defensive concern: Gran Tarajal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Lanzarote remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lanzarote VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzarote
(Home) 27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 4
Gran Tarajal
(Away) 12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
13 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Gran Tarajal
27 Mar
Herbania
0 : 0 Gran Tarajal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 68:22 | 80 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 64:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 62:19 | 74 |
| 4 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 74:24 | 74 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Arucas | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 7 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 8 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 41:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:56 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:53 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29:42 | 39 |
| 13 | Herbania | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Ibarra | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:45 | 36 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:53 | 32 |
| 16 | Teror | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:67 | 26 |
| 17 | Gran Tarajal | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 21:54 | 24 |
| 18 | CD La Cuadra | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 26:72 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
