Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Santos A. V.
57'
57'
Martin J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Lanzarote and San Miguel finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
35%
48%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Miguel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lanzarote come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
- San Miguel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzarote | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Miguel
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Miguel
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Lanzarote
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Miguel
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Lanzarote
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
San Miguel Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos A. V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzarote 24 / 100
San Miguel 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzarote San Miguel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Miguel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lanzarote scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
San Miguel has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Lanzarote went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lanzarote VS San Miguel
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzarote
(Home) 13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
02 Apr
Lanzarote
3 : 1 Arucas
Page 1 of 4
San Miguel
(Away) 13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1 San Miguel
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0 CD Marino
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1 San Miguel
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
12 Apr
Mensajero
1 : 0 San Miguel
28 Mar
San Bartolome
0 : 3 San Miguel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | San Bartolome | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Anaza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 6 | UD San Fernando | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 7 | CD Marino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Estrella | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Mensajero | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Union Tenerife | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 13 | Tenerife C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 14 | Villaverde Norte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 | Villa Santa Brigida | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 16 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Union Sur Yaiza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)
