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Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
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Match Events

40' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Lanzarote and SD Tenisca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lanzarote
22%
Draws
18%
SD Tenisca
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lanzarote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Lanzarote taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote SD Tenisca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Lanzarote
2:0
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
1:0
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Lanzarote
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SD Tenisca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 68 / 100
SD Tenisca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote SD Tenisca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Tenisca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Lanzarote stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lanzarote scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS SD Tenisca
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1
Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1
UD San Fernando
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

SD Tenisca

(Away)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)