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Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Lanzarote and SD Tenisca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
32%
SD Tenisca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote SD Tenisca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.96 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Lanzarote
2:0
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
1:0
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs Lanzarote
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs SD Tenisca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SD Tenisca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 41 / 100
SD Tenisca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote SD Tenisca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Tenisca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Lanzarote's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Lanzarote has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS SD Tenisca
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

SD Tenisca

(Away)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)