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Lanzarote vs UD Guia

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 game between Lanzarote and UD Guia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
39%
UD Guia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Guia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lanzarote's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%
UD Guia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote UD Guia
Matches Played 47 35
Wins 18 12
Draws 17 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs UD Guia
1:1
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Lanzarote
2:1
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs UD Guia
3:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Guia vs Lanzarote
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 40 / 100
UD Guia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote UD Guia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanzarote's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 47 recent games.

UD Guia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Lanzarote went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 10

UD Guia

(Away)
27 Jun
Ibarra
6 : 2
UD Guia
19 Jun
UD Guia
0 : 2
Vera CD
13 Jun
Tacoronte
4 : 1
UD Guia
05 Jun
UD Guia
3 : 2
Atletico Victoria
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lanzarote 40 23 10 7 65:30 79
2 Las Palmas B 40 23 9 8 68:43 78
3 Tenerife B 40 21 9 10 64:34 72
4 Atletico Granadilla 40 19 14 7 48:29 71
5 Villa Santa Brigida 40 17 12 11 62:47 63
6 CD Marino 40 17 11 12 52:38 62
7 Corralejo 40 16 14 10 52:39 62
8 Pajara Playas 40 17 6 17 54:59 57
9 SD Tenisca 40 17 6 17 48:58 57
10 Tijarafe 40 16 8 16 54:48 56
11 Vera CD 40 15 11 14 63:60 56
12 CD Laguna 40 15 6 19 47:48 51
13 Mensajero 40 14 8 18 62:62 50
14 AD Huracan 40 12 13 15 45:59 49
15 Teror 40 12 13 15 53:60 49
16 Las Zocas 40 12 11 17 42:50 47
17 Victoria CD 40 14 4 22 36:58 46
18 Orientacion Maritima 40 10 15 15 45:59 45
19 San Isidro 40 12 8 20 44:69 44
20 UD Guia 40 11 9 20 37:47 42
21 UD Realejos 40 6 5 29 40:84 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)