Sport Picks
Lanzarote vs Union Sur Yaiza
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Lanzarote and Union Sur Yaiza finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzarote | Union Sur Yaiza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote
3:3
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzarote 41 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzarote Union Sur Yaiza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanzarote found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Union Sur Yaiza let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Lanzarote remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Lanzarote VS Union Sur Yaiza
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzarote
(Home) 19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
02 Apr
Lanzarote
3 : 1 Arucas
Page 1 of 4
Union Sur Yaiza
(Away) 19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Union Sur Yaiza
29 Mar
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
