Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanzarote vs Union Viera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mayor J.
63' Event
Hujo I.
77' Event
Fuentes A.

AI Match Summary

Lanzarote in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
28%
Union Viera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanzarote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lanzarote have won more games recently than Union Viera.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Lanzarote taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lanzarote have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote Union Viera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Union Viera
4:0
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Lanzarote
0:1
Apr 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Lanzarote
1:4
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Union Viera
0:0
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Lanzarote
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Hujo I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mayor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Union Viera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 95 / 100
Union Viera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote Union Viera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union Viera conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Lanzarote found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lanzarote remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1
Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1
UD San Fernando
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Union Viera

(Away)
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6
San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0
Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3
Mensajero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)