Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Nantong Haimen

China China

League Two Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wang Bowen In: Cao Yuetao
Out: Wang Bowen
46'
Sub
Abdurahman A. In: Jiang W.
Out: Abdurahman A.
65'
Sub
Pei Guoguang In: Qi Dan
Out: Pei Guoguang

AI Match Summary

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic host Nantong Haimen in the League Two. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nantong Haimen have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have conceded 0.38 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Nantong Haimen slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.69) back Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
39%
Draws
31%
Nantong Haimen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nantong Haimen.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Two provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Clean Sheet 68%
Nantong Haimen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Nantong Haimen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 League Two
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Nantong Haimen
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 League Two
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Nantong Haimen
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 League Two
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Nantong Haimen
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 League Two
Nantong Haimen vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 41 / 100
Nantong Haimen 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Nantong Haimen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Nantong Haimen let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nantong Haimen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic VS Nantong Haimen
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
2Shandong Taishan B1592422:1329
3Dalian Kewei1567212:725
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1538414:1417
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1525814:2711
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281575323:1826
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
5Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
6Ganzhou Ruishi1565416:1423
7Hangzhou Linping1547415:2219
8Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
9Guangdong Mingtu1537515:1716
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B153489:1713
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179