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Laos U23 vs Timor-Leste U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2022
Sat, Feb 26, 2022
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFF Championship U23 2022. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Laos U23 at 0.96 goals for, 2.25 against; Timor-Leste U23 at 1.27 for, 3.13 against. Past meetings favor Laos U23 slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Timor-Leste U23 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Laos U23
30%
Draws
31%
Timor-Leste U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laos U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Timor-Leste U23 lately — more wins on the board than Laos U23.
  • Timor-Leste U23 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Timor-Leste U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Laos U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Laos U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos U23 Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.96 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Laos U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
0:0
Jun 9, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Laos U23
2:3
Nov 13, 2011 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Laos U23
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos U23 16 / 100
Timor-Leste U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timor-Leste U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Timor-Leste U23 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Laos U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Timor-Leste U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laos U23 VS Timor-Leste U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Laos U23
0 : 7
South Korea U23
03 Sept
Indonesia U23
0 : 0
Laos U23
19 Jul
Laos U23
0 : 3
Vietnam U23
16 Jul
Cambodia U23
1 : 1
Laos U23
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Timor-Leste U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Laos U23 0
Thailand U23 2
Timor-Leste U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Final
Thailand U23 0
Vietnam U23 1
Laos U23 -
Timor-Leste U23 -