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Stadium Background

Laos vs Philippines

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Baldisimo M.
Own Goal
36'
Sub
Khambaion S. In: Phommathep P.
Out: Khambaion S.
46'
Sub
Phommasane P. In: Xaypanya A.
Out: Phommasane P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this ASEAN Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Laos
15%
Draws
57%
Philippines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippines have won more games recently than Laos.
  • Philippines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Philippines have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Philippines Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Philippines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Philippines
1:4
Dec 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Philippines
1:1
Oct 3, 2018 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Philippines vs Laos
3:1
Dec 1, 2017 Friendly International
Laos vs Philippines
1:3
Nov 22, 2014 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Laos
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Philippines 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Philippines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippines conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Laos found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Philippines registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Philippines
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 6

Philippines

(Away)
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)