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Laos vs Thailand Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Poeiphimai T.
Assist: Yooyen S.
14'
Sengvanny S.
25'
Chanthaleuxay V.

AI Match Summary

Thailand in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thailand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Laos
15%
Draws
59%
Thailand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand have won more games recently than Laos.
  • Win probability leans Thailand's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Thailand
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.9 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Thailand
0:5
Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Thailand vs Laos
1:1
Sep 12, 2012 Friendly International
Thailand vs Laos
2:1
Dec 1, 2010 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Laos
2:2
Dec 8, 2008 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Thailand
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamyok K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poeiphimai T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.86
Avg xA / game 1.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Thailand 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Thailand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Laos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thailand let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Laos has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Thailand
1 Goals Scored 2.13
4.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
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Thailand

(Away)
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)