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Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pontinen A.
53' Event
Savic S.
56' Event
Pakola J.

AI Match Summary

YPA in this Kakkonen Group C 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored YPA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
15%
Draws
49%
YPA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: YPA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to YPA lately — more wins on the board than Lapuan Virkia Lapua.
  • Model gives YPA a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • YPA have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 10%
YPA Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lapuan Virkia Lapua YPA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.8
Goals Conceded 5.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
YPA vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
3:0
Jun 12, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
1:4
Sep 12, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
0:2
May 28, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
YPA vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
5:1
Aug 5, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lapuan Virkia Lapua Compare

Top Goalscorer Pontinen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

YPA Compare

Top Goalscorer Verronen V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Savic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lapuan Virkia Lapua 10 / 100
YPA 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lapuan Virkia Lapua YPA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Lapuan Virkia Lapua found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

YPA has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: YPA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lapuan Virkia Lapua VS YPA
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
5.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lapuan Virkia Lapua

(Home)
29 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 4
JS Hercules
11 Apr
LappBK
1 : 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
13 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2 : 5
GBK Kokkola
16 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 7
AC Oulu
01 Oct
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 9
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

YPA

(Away)
01 Oct
Santa Claus
2 : 4
YPA
25 Sept
YPA
1 : 1
PPT
18 Sept
Narpes Kraft
3 : 1
YPA
11 Sept
YPA
0 : 2
GBK Kokkola
04 Sept
JS Hercules
4 : 3
YPA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OPS 22 15 3 4 70:31 48
2 MuSa 22 15 3 4 51:18 48
3 AC Kajaani 22 14 3 5 84:24 45
4 GBK Kokkola 22 12 4 6 60:25 40
5 TP-47 22 11 4 7 37:34 37
6 YPA 22 10 3 9 40:36 33
7 Narpes Kraft 22 9 4 9 39:39 31
8 JS Hercules 22 8 4 10 39:41 28
9 VIFK 22 8 3 11 37:35 27
10 PPT 22 7 4 11 40:43 25
11 Santa Claus 22 2 2 18 24:102 8
12 Lapuan Virkia Lapua 22 2 1 19 23:116 7
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)