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Lara vs Atletico Barinas Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Osorio Y.
46' Event
Alvarez M.
65' Event
Roudette Gregory K.

AI Match Summary

Lara in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Lara
15%
Draws
18%
Atletico Barinas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lara lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Barinas.
  • Model gives Lara a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lara have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lara Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lara Atletico Barinas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Lara
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico Barinas
4:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Lara
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico Barinas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roudette Gregory K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lara 85 / 100
Atletico Barinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lara Atletico Barinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lara scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Atletico Barinas has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lara VS Atletico Barinas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lara

(Home)
30 Sept
Lara
4 : 0
Real Frontera
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Barinas

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
17 Sept
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico Barinas
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 28 19 6 3 50:20 63
2 Barquisimeto 28 15 8 5 50:28 53
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 28 12 7 9 37:27 43
5 Zamora 2 28 11 7 10 45:40 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 29 10 7 12 36:48 37
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 29 8 7 14 36:43 31
8 Atletico Barinas 29 9 4 16 50:61 31
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)