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Laracha vs Ourense CF

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Laracha and Ourense CF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Laracha
15%
Draws
59%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ourense CF come out ahead of Laracha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Laracha Clean Sheet 20%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laracha Ourense CF
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Ourense CF
0:1
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Laracha
2:2
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Ourense CF
0:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Laracha
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laracha 32 / 100
Ourense CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laracha Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laracha's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ourense CF conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Laracha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ourense CF
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laracha

(Home)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
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Ourense CF

(Away)
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)