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Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gabriel A.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Laranja Mecanica and Patriotas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laranja Mecanica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Laranja Mecanica
30%
Draws
41%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patriotas come out ahead of Laranja Mecanica on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Laranja Mecanica Clean Sheet 20%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laranja Mecanica Patriotas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas
0:0
May 4, 2024 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Laranja Mecanica
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Laranja Mecanica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laranja Mecanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Patriotas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laranja Mecanica 31 / 100
Patriotas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laranja Mecanica Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laranja Mecanica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Laranja Mecanica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Laranja Mecanica scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Laranja Mecanica VS Patriotas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Laranja Mecanica

(Home)
09 May
Laranja Mecanica
1 : 2
Paranavai-PR
02 May
Paranavai-PR
0 : 0
Laranja Mecanica
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
19 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
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Patriotas

(Away)
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Parana
2 : 1
Patriotas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)