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Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gabriel A.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Laranja Mecanica and Patriotas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laranja Mecanica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Laranja Mecanica
39%
Draws
31%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patriotas come out ahead of Laranja Mecanica on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Laranja Mecanica Clean Sheet 20%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laranja Mecanica Patriotas
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Patriotas
0:0
May 4, 2024 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Laranja Mecanica
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Laranja Mecanica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laranja Mecanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Patriotas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laranja Mecanica 31 / 100
Patriotas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laranja Mecanica Patriotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Laranja Mecanica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Laranja Mecanica scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Laranja Mecanica VS Patriotas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parana972014:323
2Patriotas961216:919
3Laranja Mecanica94237:914
4Araucaria933313:1412
5Rio Branco PR925216:1411
6Paranavai-PR931510:1110
7Nacional PR92439:1210
8Toledo92436:1010
9Batel923410:109
10Prudentopolis91174:134