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Larne vs Ballymena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Inver Park, Larne
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Larne host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Larne at 1.53 goals for, 1.07 against; Ballymena at 1.93 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Larne. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Larne
15%
Draws
48%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Larne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Larne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Larne Clean Sheet 18%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Ballymena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Feb 3, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Ballymena
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 36 / 100
Ballymena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ballymena let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Larne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Ballymena
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
27 Oct
Larne
1 : 1
Limavady
24 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Larne
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
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Ballymena

(Away)
31 Oct
Ballymena
0 : 1
Bangor FC
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)